課程資訊
課程名稱
土地利用變遷模擬
MODELING LAND USE CHANGE AND IMPACTS 
開課學期
99-1 
授課對象
生物資源暨農學院  生物環境系統工程學系  
授課教師
林裕彬 
課號
BSE5115 
課程識別碼
622 U4720 
班次
 
學分
全/半年
半年 
必/選修
選修 
上課時間
星期三2,3,4(9:10~12:10) 
上課地點
農工九 
備註
總人數上限:30人 
Ceiba 課程網頁
http://ceiba.ntu.edu.tw/991landuse 
課程簡介影片
 
核心能力關聯
本課程尚未建立核心能力關連
課程大綱
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課程概述

The transformation of land use and land cover is driven by a range of different factors and mechanisms. Climate, technology and economics are key determinants of land-use change at different spatial and temporal scales. Moreover, the use of land in both natural and man-made environments is influenced by the pressures associated with development. The variety of forces that drive change in the use of land is extensive and complex, including spatial planning policies designed at local, regional, national and supranational levels. Given this complexity and in order to understand the mechanisms of change and the impact of policies, researchers and practitioners have turned their attention to formulating, calibrating and testing models that simulate land-use dynamics. These land-use change models help us to understand the characteristics and interdependencies of the components that constitute spatial systems. Moreover, when utilized in a predictive capacity, they provide valuable insights into possible land-use configurations in the future.
This course offers a cross-sectional overview of current research progress in the field of land-use modelling. The contributions that are included in the chapters of the course range from methodology and model calibration to the actual application of systems and studies of policy implementation and evaluation. The course is an indispensable guide for students interested in state-of-the-art land-use modelling, its background and its application. Additional exercises and assignments help students to critically assess the potential of these instruments. In addition, this course also introduces landcsape ecology concepts and landcsape metrics in land use planning and modleing.
 

課程目標
This course is an indispensable guide for students interested in state-of-the-art land-use modelling, its background and its application. Additional exercises and assignments help students to critically assess the potential of these instruments. This course also provide tools for landscape ecological assessment associated with land use patterns. 
課程要求
 
預期每週課後學習時數
 
Office Hours
每週三 14:00~15:00 
指定閱讀
 
參考書目
Modeling land use change-progress and applications, Springer, 2007
Land-use and land cover change-Local process and global change, Springer, 2006.
Global land Project, GLP, 2005.
A review and assessment of land-use change models: dynamics of space, time, and human Choice. 2002, Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-297. Newton Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station.
User’s manual of CLUE-s.
User’s manual of Markov-CA.
User’s manual of SLEUTH.
Journal papers.
Andre Botequilha Leitao, Joseph Miller, Jack Ahern, Kevin McGarigal, Measuring Landscape, Island Press, 2006.
Gergel, S.E. and Turner, M. G.., Learning Landscape Ecology: A practical guild to concepts and techniques, Springer-Verlag, 2002.
Dramstad, W.E., Olson, J.D. and Forman, T.T., Landscape ecology principles in landscape architecture and land use planning, Island Press, 1996.
Bissonette, J.A. and Storch, I., Landscape ecology and resource management, Island Press, 2003.
Turner, Monica G. and Gardner, Robert H., Quantitative methods in landscape ecology, 1992.
Turner, M.G., Gardner, R.H. and O’neill, R.V., Landscape Ecology in theory and practice, Springer-Verlag, 2001.
Forman, R.T.T, Land Mosaics, Cambridge, 1998. Journal papers.
 
評量方式
(僅供參考)
 
No.
項目
百分比
說明
1. 
Homeworks 
30% 
 
2. 
Midterm report 
30% 
 
3. 
Final Report 
40% 
 
 
課程進度
週次
日期
單元主題
第1週
2010/9/15  Introduction of Land use change modeling, Global land-cover change and causes
 
第2週
2010/9/29  Local processes with Global impacts, Multiple impact of land use change 
第3週
2010/10/6  Land use models and Modeling 
第4週
2010/10/13  Empirical land use change model, CLUE-s model (I) 
第5週
2010/10/20  CLUE-s model (II) and GIS 
第6週
2010/10/27  Land use simulation and planning policy,
Stochastic and Dynamic land use models, Markov, CA 
第7週
2010/11/3  Stochastic and Dynamic land use models, Markov, CA, CA-Markov model (I) 
第8週
2010/11/10  CA-Markov (II) and GIS,
SLUETH 
第9週
2010/11/17  Midterm report in applications of CLUE-s(Group) and CA-Markov 
第10週
2010/11/24  Landscape Ecology, Land use, and landscape metrics 
第11週
2010/12/1  Landscape metrics and land use patterns 
第12週
2010/12/8  Fragstats, Landscape pattern and GIS 
第13週
2010/12/15  Land use planning and Landscape ecology 
第14週
2010/12/22  Cases of Land use modeling system for environmental impact assessment, Sustainable Land use and water management 
第15週
2010/12/29  Integrations of land use models and biophysical models
Final Report 
第16週
2011/1/5  Final reports